Skip to content

Analysing the impact of the UK Government's welfare reforms in Wales

Related Links

UK Welfare Reform in Wales

UK Welfare Reform in Wales
Information on the impact and consequences of the UK Welfare Reform Act 2012 for the people of Wales.

Readers and software

Readers and software
Certain information on this site requires that you have the right software to view it. This page offers links to freely available viewers and readers.
Our ministerial Task and Finish Group on Welfare Reform has commissioned a three-stage programme of research to assess the impact of the UK Government’s welfare reforms in Wales.

The Stage 1 report was published in February 2012. The main aim was to analyse the existing evidence on the cumulative impact of the tax and benefit changes on individuals and households in Wales. This looked at:

  • the number of individuals potentially affected by the changes
  • the expected monetary impact on household incomes (spatially and by income group and family type)
  • impact on poverty
  • effects on work incentives, and
  • an initial assessment of wider economic and social impacts.
The Stage 2 reports were published in February 2013. This stage was undertaken via a combination of internal and external work. 

The internal work, undertaken by Knowledge & Analytical Services, has estimated the direct effects of the main welfare reforms on household incomes in Wales, and provides a more detailed assessment of the wider economic and social impacts of welfare reform (building on the Stage 1 research) and potential implications for devolved public services in Wales. This report can be found in the document downloads below.

The external work, undertaken by Stuart Adam and David Phillips (Institute for Fiscal Studies), has focused on analysing the impact of the welfare reforms on labour supply in Wales. This report is available on the Institute for Fiscal Studies' website.

The Stage 3 research is currently underway. 

Document Download

PDF Document (MFS)
Analysing the impact of the UK Government’s welfare reforms in Wales – Stage 1 analysis (English only) [.pdf 1.4MB]
PDF Document (MFS)
Summary of the key findings: Analysing the impact of the UK Government’s welfare reforms in Wales – Stage 1 analysis [.pdf 800KB]
PDF Document (MFS)
Analysing the impact of the UK Government’s welfare reforms in Wales – Stage 2 analysis [.pdf 521KB]
PDF Document (MFS)
Summary of the key findings: Analysing the impact of the UK Government’s welfare reforms in Wales – Stage 2 analysis [.pdf 130KB]