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Household Projections for Wales (2008-Based): Summary Report

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The latest National Statistics on Household Projections produced by the Welsh Assembly Government were released on 29 September 2010, according to the arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.

UK Statistics Authority Website Statistics on Household Projections include data for Wales for the period 2008 to 2033. The latest release updates the statistics previously released on 11 June 2009.

The key points from the latest release are:

  • The number of households in Wales is projected to grow to over 1.5 million by 2023 and then to 1.6 million over the total projected period.
  • On average, the total number of households in Wales is projected to increase by just under 1 per cent per year between 2008 and 2033.
  • The average household size in Wales is projected to decrease from 2.27 persons in 2008, to 2.10 in 2023 and finally 2.02 persons over the total projected period.
  • Single parent households, of all types, are projected to increase from 102,000 in 2008 to over 172,000 in 2033, an increase of 69 per cent compared to 2008.
  • Overall numbers of households with 4 or more persons are projected to decrease from 225,000 in 2008 to 195,000 in 2023 and finally 184,000 in 2033, a total decrease of 18 per cent over the projection period.
  • Total household numbers are projected to increase for all local authorities in Wales over the total projected period. Figures are projected to rise from 1.3 million in 2008 to 1.6 million by 2033.
  • Cardiff is the local authority projected to have the largest growth in households. Households are projected to increase from 137,000 in 2008 to 179,000 in 2023 (a 31 per cent increase since 2008).This is a reflection of the high growth in the population projections and is due to the high net inflows of migrants in recent years. This may not be sustained in the longer-term.

Further information

StatsWales website.

Contact

Tel: 029 2082 3295
E-mail: stats.housing@wales.gsi.gov.uk

Next update

September 2011 (provisional - to be confirmed on Due Out Soon page)