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Population of 0-19 Year Olds in Wales from 1991 to 2031

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Mid-year estimates of population are occasionally revised.
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The Statistical Bulletin Population of 0-19 Year Olds in Wales from 1991-2031 produced by the Welsh Assembly Government was published on 4 December 2008 according to the arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.

UK Statistics Authority Website Statistics on the Population of 0-19 year olds include data for the UK, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland for the period 1991-2031.

This Bulletin provides an analysis of the population of 0-19 year olds in Wales. It analyses population trends from 1991 to 2007 and the projected population of 0-19 year olds from 2008 until 2031.

The key points from this release are:

  • The population of 0-19 year olds in Wales has been decreasing since around 1999, and it is projected that this population will continue to decrease until 2014 when it will reach its lowest level. The population will then increase until 2026, before declining gradually from here on.
  • There has been an increase in the number of 0-4 year olds in recent years which will gradually lead to an increase in primary school age children and then secondary school age children. This is because birth numbers in Wales have been increasing since 2002, and are projected to continue increasing until 2018.
  • The effects of the recent increase in the number of births will be carried through over the projection period, leading to increases in the numbers of children in each age group.
  • Trends for each age group are similar within most local authorities in Wales, although turning points occur at different years.

Revision note

The 2002-2008 mid year estimates were revised in May 2010 as part of ONS’ programme on improving population and migration estimates (IMPS).

This output is based on the unrevised population and migration data and therefore should be treated with caution.

More information on IMPS can be accessed through the related links section.

Contact

Tel: 029 2082 5058
E-mail: stats.popcensus@wales.gsi.gov.uk

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