2006-based Population Projections for National Parks

Please note that these statistics are experimental, and the assumptions taken when carrying out the work are stated at the end of the article. There are also notes on the use of statistical articles.

These projections have been calculated by apportioning the 2006-based unitary authority projections (published in June 2008). The Welsh Assembly Government hope to produce National Park projections which are based on the same methodology as the unitary authority projections (i.e. based on births, deaths and migration data at the National Park level) later in 2009. These apportioned National Park projections are published in the interim.

The key points from the release are:

• The population of each National Park is projected to increase throughout the projection period.
• Generally, the trends for each age group in each National Park are similar to the projected national trends.
• Brecon Beacons’ population is projected to increase from 33,000 in 2006 to 38,700 in 2031, and Pembrokeshire’s population is projected to increase from 22,300 in 2006 to 26,200 in 2031.
• The population of Snowdonia is projected to increase by 12.8% from 25,700 in 2006 to 29,000 in 2031.
• The number of people aged 65 and over in each National Park is projected to increase considerably over the projection period. The largest percentage increase is projected to occur in the Brecon Beacons, where the number of people aged 65 and over will increase by 85.3% between 2006 and 2031 (to 12,900).

Contact

Tel: 029 2082 5058
E-mail: stats.popcensus@wales.gsi.gov.uk

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